Tuesday, March 12, 2019
The baby boomer in the midst of the economic crisis
well-nigh of the baby baby boomer generation were imbibed with the stereotype perception on the facets of work, employment and success. In a typical scenario, that best schedule would connote that a baby boomer would go to work on a regular schedule, 8-5, working from Monday to Friday schedule. Most of the time would be spent in the office, taking a occasional commute to and from the office, with some time being taken by overtime, some work to be done on the weekends, and some other tasks to be accomplished at home.Success was withal easily defined, with the person attaining the highest position in the corporate ladder becoming the epitome of that standard of success (Brad Harrington, Douglas star sign 98). Many of the people, baby boomer and others, believe that the current recession is close to to end and that more prosperous times ar about to bring to are, what observers state, is sadly suffering from a near sighted view of the read scotch crisis.In reality, since the p eaking of the two hundred5 United States housing crisis, the continuing barrage of the sub-prime pecuniary crisis in 2007,and the resulting economic slowdown in the American economy in declination of the same category, its has been observed that the United States economy, and to a certain degree the globose market, has entered into an era of pro hugeed ad skilfulments, with expected catamenias of increment, except the severe economic restructuring currently being put in organize is believed to overlay for the succeeding(a) geezerhood. What is believed to be the main driver of these developments is the baby boomer generation.It is assumed that the previously mentioned pecuniary crisis is also contributory to the current financial morass, but the imperative reasons is that what is considered as the largest demographic in the history of mankind, the baby boomer generation innate(p) after the Second World War, has overreached its spending power (Professor Rodrigue Tremblay ). What is seen to be the neighboring(a) effect of this development is that there must be a realisation that the exhaustion of the spending power of the baby boomer generation is irreversible.In this regard, the solutions cannot be found overnight the remedy forget be decades of readjusting of corporate spending, rock-bottom spending and cast upd savings, and liquidating massive mountains of debt. The ramifications of this development bequeath be seen to mull over through the entire economic structure, as seen in the downturn of the go industry, and the increases in the health explosive charge arena, as the baby boomer continue to age (Tremblay).What is considered as a significant public policy spot is the potential load that a society that is reaching its twilight course of instructions will place on the nations health provider system and the presidential term expenditures. The 2030 issue is about addressing the challenge that by that time, there will be adequate an d an efficacious system will be in place in three decades time, when the elderly sector in society will be double the express population. By the year 2030, it is expected that umteen of the baby boomer generation will be between the ages of 66 to 84 eld, and they will comprise 61 million individuals.Apart from these, the number of the sometime(a) baby boomers, will be more than 9 million by 2030 (James Knickman, Emily Snell). The typify structure of the long term care sector is constructed about the provision of the service by private providers, which can be categorized as non-profit and some for profit outfits. When the avail able-bodied resources increase, the development of new service can accelerate at a faster pace. Inversely, when available resources decrease, it is also expected that the capacity of the sector will diminish.Taking the example of home health care as a point of reference, the growth in the per year expenditure rate increase went from ten per centum in t he period of the 1980s reaching into the 1990s, plummeting to a negative three part in just two old age, from 1998 to 1999 (Knickman, Snell). The Congressional cipher Office (CBO), in a 1999 report, calculates that expenditures tie in to long term care needs was approximately $120 billion in 2000, more than half (59 percent) addressed by the private sector.The quietus of the expenditures were covered by individual expenses, with the private long term sector just covering one percent of the long term health care expenditures. In the conservative estimation of the CBO, the total amount for long term health care will rise an average of 2. 6 percent above inflationary levels annually over a foil of three decades, totaling more than $150 billion in 2010, close to $200 billion in 2020, and a colossal $ 230 billion by the year 2030 (Knickman, Snell). In the composition of the Federal budgetary outlay, three organisation shadow the bulk of Federal spending Medicaid, Medicare and a ffectionate Security.Federal outlays for these programs in 2004 reached more than $960 billion, sole(a) of receipt offsetting of Medicare premiums. In total, these three programs totaled more than 40 percent of the entire Federal budget. It is be noted that the Federal government is contemplating on implementing sweeping changes in the mechanism of the social Security system. The changes in the Social Security structure is inclusive of proposals to divert a portion of their tax payments to private investment tools (United States Congressional Budget Office 9).One piece of advice that the boomers energy give serious contemplation to is the fact that there exists now a need to increase levels of savings rather than increased spending. every(prenominal) the events the run few years have sent a clear type to the aging sector to turn to savings and restrain spending binges but these acts of saving on the part of the boomers would mean a decrease in the levels of consumption and re duced spending, so that they can liquidate their liabilities, and that will increase the personal net income of the boomers.But what does that spell for the economy, if the largest spending sector considers more saving and reducing their consumption? It will translate to a comprehensive slowdown in economic growth and some excruciating adjustments in all-encompassing sectors in the economy (Tremblay) . In this light, it is expected that the effects of the current financial crisis hounding the global economies will be magnified and increase in its intensity, and the magnified effects of the crisis will continue to be felt in the decades to come.The economic doldrums will not be continuous, as there will be some short lived gains and increases, but will quickly pitch to the state of economic stagnation. To cite an example, in the last decade, Japan suffered a period of stagnation induced by the elderly demographic storm-tossed the nations economy for the entire nineties. Even to this day, Japan is still trying to finds its air out of the economic morass it suffered during that time (Tremblay). Many of the countries whose population practices a very high standard of savings patterns will be able to export much of that capital to other countries.During the baseline year for sample simulations, 1997, it was seen that many industrial states were exportation more than $60 billion in net investments to some low and middle level nations, amounting to 1. 1 percent of the gross domestic product of the nations that receive these outflows of capital. In that year, only nations in East Asia region were seen to be net exporters of capital. But in the year 2015, the recipients of the outflows of the industrial nations will be the ones exporting capital, and the industrial nations currently exporting the capital will be the ones importing the capital (World bound 40).In the years not covered by the data released by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the continued a ging of the baby boomers, compounded with increasing be related to health care, will create a significant cant over in the financial situation of the Unite States. It is expected that in the next three decades, the population of Americans at or over the age of 65 will jump 100 percent, while the number of people that are under the age of 65 will only increase by 15 percent. What is more alarming is the rate for the increase for health care expenditures is expected to outstrip the pace of economic growth during the same period.If the be continue at a pace of 2. 5 percent, the Federal government will increase its budgetary allocations for Medicare and Medicaid, from 4. 2 percent at present more than 11 percent by the year 2030 (Congressional 10). Budgetary allocations for Social Security is expected to increase in the next thirty years by an average of 40 percent under the operation of the present laws. The share of the allocations for Social Security will rise from the 4. 2 class at present to at least 6 percent in 2030.By comparison, the revenue projections for Social Security is expected to be static during the period, hovering at around 5 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). All combined, these pressures will exert significant amounts of stress on the budget that growth in the economy is unlikely to fully satiate (Congressional 11). Works Cited Harrington, Brad, Hall, Douglas T. passage Management and work life integration using self opinion to navigate contemporary careers. Los Angeles, USA Sage Publications 2007. Knickman, James R. , Snell, Emily K. The 2030 Problem lovingness for Aging Baby Boomers.Health Research and Education Trust 2002 August, 37(4), pp. 849-884 Tremblay, Rodrigue. The Great Baby-Boomers stinting Stagnation of 2007-2017. United States Congressional Budget Office. The US Budget and sparing Outlook 2006- 2015. P. O. Box 416, Old Chelsea Station New York NY Cosimo, Inc. 2005 World Bank. worldwide economic prospects and the Developing countries, Volume 13. 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC World Bank Publications 2003.
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